It seems that
financial fixed income investments are not living its best:
1. Probably
most readers know that central banks in Europe and Japan have pushed short-term
interest rates into negative territory. These rates,
in turn, has led yields on sovereign debt to a negative field.
2. The solution
found by Japanese and European investors has been to divert their money to the
US, where yields of Treasuries remain positive.
The benchmark 10-year currently produces more than 1.5%. This performance was fine until recently; however, later,
hedging costs increased so much, that current performance is no longer
sufficient to maintain positive returns.
3. The solution Japanese and European investors are
now looking for is the corporate bonds of the United States, which, despite
being at historic lows, still generate positive returns. However, they seem to
be losing sight of the risk factor, because the credit downgrades and defaults
have been rising quietly.
4. Meanwhile, Latin American investors who have their
money in global markets still are not worried, since the devaluation of their
currencies is offsetting the negative returns on their portfolios, which
therefore show positive results. However, this does not mean they are making a
profit; the true is that their capital is
depreciating day by day, and if the devaluation recedes, losses will
then become apparent.
What alternatives are
left for fixed income portfolios?

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